If the local government elections were held today, the ANC would have to enter into coalition agreements with some opposition parties to retain control of Gauteng’s municipalities.
Latest research conducted by international polling organisation C-Voter, on behalf of The New Age and ANN7, reveals that the ANC would only capture 35.7% of the votes compared to the DA’s 39% and Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF)’s 20.3%.
The research said the ANC would have lost the confidence of 17.9% of the province’s electorate since the last local government elections.
A similar picture is painted across the other provinces where the ruling party has shed support. This includes the Eastern Cape (-8.3%), Free State (-12.2%), KZN (-3.1%), Limpopo (-21.6%), Mpumalanga (-21.3%), North West (-12.3%) and Northern Cape (-5.9%).
Ironically, according to the research, the ANC’s support in the Western Cape grew by 4.8%. However, the DA would still retain control with 47.9% compared to the ANC’s 37.6%.
The latest research was based on a sample of 8770 respondents and a 5% statistical error margin.
It said the major beneficiaries of the ANC’s loss of support were the DA and EFF.
The possible swing of voter support to the EFF, which is contesting local government elections for the first time, would be a major concern for the ANC ahead of the August 3 polls.
The Tshwane metro, which was rocked by violent clashes following the ANC’s nomination of Thoko Didiza’s as the party’s mayoral candidate, is expected to be a major battleground.
According to the latest research, the ANC should also be worried about the 2019 national and provincial elections as the trends indicate that the party is also losing the confidence of the electorate at national and provincial levels.
Voting trends at a national level indicated that the ANC would only garner 41.9% of support compared to the DA’s 19.2% and the EFF’s 13.4%.
In the 2014 national election, the ANC received 62.15%, the DA 22.23% and the EFF 6.35%.
In Gauteng, the ANC obtains 30.9% support, the DA 30.7% and EFF 17.2%.
Twenty-two percent of those polled indicated that they would never vote for the ANC, 20.6% for the DA and 26.5% for the EFF.